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BLOG  |  JANUARY, 2010

We Imagine Technology for a Distant Future...But Want it Now

January 20, 2010 at 9:00 am
by Chris

It's pretty clear that the creators of Star Trek anticipated the tablet computer. The tablet of their future was referred to generically as the personal access display device, or PADD, and was interchangeable to the extreme. Some scenes even depicted starfleet officers delivering each other orders by simply handing one PADD to the other. Perhaps this had something to do with the elimination of currency in the future. No currency, no brands. Anyway...

What I find fascinating is that the creators of this science fiction series were imagining a distant, utopic future. My favorite entry in the Star Trek saga was The Next Generation, which depicted the Enterprise crew of the 24th century--300 years from now. They had all kinds of fantastic advances- interstellar ships, contact with diverse alien species, advanced medical technology, food and goods replicators- but still had what have proven to be fairly un-advanced personal computers. Imagine the technological reality of 300 years in the past from today (circa 1710), the beginning of the industrial revolution, which began with the invention of the piano, the steam engine, and the thermometer. How radically things have changed since then! Inventors of that mechanical era could have hardly imagined the miniaturization of technology that we enjoy today. Likewise, we are unlikely to realistically imagine the technology of 300 years ahead. As the popular anticipation of forthcoming tablet devices grows (particularly Apple's), it's clear that while we may imagine the tools correctly, we get the dates very wrong.


Comments
Alex | January 21, 2010 9:00 PM

The only problem is that as it turns out, Apple's tablet-to-come is probably going to be a much more frivolous device than any 'Trek character would have used. Except for maybe Data. He was kind of an iPod.
Chris Butler | January 24, 2010 6:04 PM

Alex,I've heard plenty of rumors about Apple's tablet, too. We'll see on Tuesday what's real. When iPods are able to walk around on their own and look like people, we're going to have a major problem.Chris
Nolan | January 27, 2010 11:39 AM

I think what the transistor did for electronics (no more big, unstable vacuum tubes!), and then its subsequent miniaturization, the memristor will be an even bigger boon. From an HP Labs blurb written just a little under two years ago:"The memristor — short for memory resistor - could make it possible to develop far more energy-efficient computing systems with memories that retain information even after the power is off, so there's no wait for the system to boot up after turning the computer on. It may even be possible to create systems with some of the pattern-matching abilities of the human brain."http://www.hpl.hp.com/news/2008/apr-jun/memristor.htmlAnd more info:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memristor#Potential_applications
Chris Butler | January 27, 2010 11:45 AM

@Anaii, We'll see... today at 1pm EST. My guess is that even with a high price tag, many will buy.

@Nolan, sci-fi!
Nolan | January 27, 2010 11:50 AM

@Chris, the cool thing about the memristor is that there is no fiction about it. They already have patents filed using the technology ranging from programmable logic (like a CPU, probably even more like a FPGA) to super high-density RAM with low-power consumption.